Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 34Sunday, 8 November 2026 · America First Field
Real Salt Lake
11th · 42 pts01:00KICK-OFF WAT
Los Angeles Galaxy
7th · 44 pts49% Real
23% Draw
28% Los
OUR PICK
Real Salt Lake to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.03
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.28
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.03X4.3023.62
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.67NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.67
GG
60%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Real Salt LakeLos Angeles Galaxy1.5Goals per game1.5
1.5Conceded per game1.7
1.27Points per game1.33
36%Win rate33%
0Goal difference-6
10Form, last 5 (pts)8
Real Salt Lake form
LWWWDA San Jose Earthquakes2–1
A Austin1–2
H St. Louis City3–0
A Sporting Kansas City1–3
H San Jose Earthquakes1–1
Los Angeles Galaxy form
WDDWLH Austin4–1
A Los Angeles FC2–2
H San Diego2–2
H Portland Timbers2–0
A St. Louis City6–2
Head to head
1
Real
1
Draw
3
Los
Apr 2026Los Angeles Galaxy – Real Salt Lake2–1
Feb 2026Los Angeles Galaxy – Real Salt Lake3–3
Jun 2025Los Angeles Galaxy – Real Salt Lake2–0
Apr 2025Real Salt Lake – Los Angeles Galaxy2–0
Jun 2024Real Salt Lake – Los Angeles Galaxy0–1
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Real Salt Lake slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.03 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.78 for Real Salt Lake, 1.28 for Los Angeles Galaxy), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Real Salt Lake sit 11th on 42 points; Los Angeles Galaxy are 7th on 44.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.