Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
72%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 8Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis
4th · 23 pts5–2FULL TIME
Osasuna
15th · 11 pts56% Real
24% Draw
19% Osasuna
OUR PICK
Real Betis to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.78
Expected goals
1.66 – 0.86
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.78X4.1125.17
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.88
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.88
NG
53%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
Real BetisOsasuna1.6Goals per game1.0
1.4Conceded per game2.0
2.09Points per game1.00
64%Win rate27%
3Goal difference-11
8Form, last 5 (pts)4
Real Betis form
WDWLWH Malaga2–1
A Celta Vigo0–0
H Feyenoord1–0
H Barcelona2–5
H FC Porto3–2
Osasuna form
LWLWLA Deportivo La Coruna2–1
A Atletico Calatayud0–6
A Sevilla2–0
H Racing Santander2–0
A Real Betis5–2
Head to head
3
Real
2
Draw
0
Osasuna
Oct 2026Real Betis – Osasuna5–2
Apr 2026Osasuna – Real Betis1–1
Sept 2025Real Betis – Osasuna2–0
May 2025Real Betis – Osasuna1–1
Oct 2024Osasuna – Real Betis1–2
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Deportivo La Coruna11+114
9Villarreal11012
10Celta Vigo11012
Match preview
Our model makes Real Betis clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.66 for Real Betis, 0.86 for Osasuna), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Real Betis sit 4th on 23 points; Osasuna are 15th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.