Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estadio de la Cartuja
Real Betis
4th · 23 pts2–1FULL TIME
Malaga
20th · 5 pts69% Real
19% Draw
12% Malaga
OUR PICK
Real Betis to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.46
Expected goals
2.14 – 0.78
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.46X5.2728.06
Goals 2.5Over1.79Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.92
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.92
NG
52%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
Real BetisMalaga1.6Goals per game0.7
1.4Conceded per game1.9
2.09Points per game0.45
64%Win rate0%
3Goal difference-13
8Form, last 5 (pts)2
Real Betis form
No recent matches.
Malaga form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Real
0
Draw
0
Malaga
These sides haven't met recently.
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid10+1524
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad10+119
6Sevilla10017
7Athletic Club9+312
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
Match preview
Our model makes Real Betis clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (2.14 for Real Betis, 0.78 for Malaga), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Real Betis sit 4th on 23 points; Malaga are 20th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.