Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 9Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Estadio de la Cartuja
Real Betis
4th · 23 pts2–5FULL TIME
Barcelona
1st · 30 pts22% Real
20% Draw
58% Barcelona
OUR PICK
Barcelona to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
1.34 – 2.28
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.59X5.0721.71
Goals 2.5Over1.43Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.51NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.43
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.51
GG
66%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
Real BetisBarcelona1.6Goals per game4.2
1.4Conceded per game1.1
2.09Points per game2.73
64%Win rate91%
3Goal difference34
8Form, last 5 (pts)12
Real Betis form
WDWLWH Malaga2–1
A Celta Vigo0–0
H Feyenoord1–0
H Barcelona2–5
H FC Porto3–2
Barcelona form
WLLWWH Alaves6–1
H Real Madrid1–2
A Paris Saint Germain4–2
A Real Betis2–5
A Galatasaray1–4
Head to head
0
Real
1
Draw
4
Barcelona
Oct 2026Real Betis – Barcelona2–5
May 2026Barcelona – Real Betis3–1
Dec 2025Real Betis – Barcelona3–5
Apr 2025Barcelona – Real Betis1–1
Jan 2025Barcelona – Real Betis5–1
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Deportivo La Coruna11+114
9Villarreal11012
10Celta Vigo11012
Match preview
Our model makes Barcelona clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.34 for Real Betis, 2.28 for Barcelona), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Real Betis sit 4th on 23 points; Barcelona are 1st on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.