Over 1.5 goals@1.86
Over 1.5
54%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 9Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Madejski Stadium
Reading
6th · 22 pts1–1FULL TIME
Bradford
7th · 22 pts48% Reading
31% Draw
20% Bradford
OUR PICK
Reading to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.07
Expected goals
1.16 – 0.64
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.07X3.2024.91
Goals 2.5Over3.49Under1.37
Both scoreGG2.95NG1.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.37
Under 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.48
NG
68%
Double chance@1.26
1X
80%
Season stats
ReadingBradford1.9Goals per game0.8
1.0Conceded per game0.6
1.69Points per game1.69
46%Win rate46%
12Goal difference2
10Form, last 5 (pts)6
Reading form
DWWLLA Plymouth0–0
H Barnsley2–1
H Leyton Orient1–0
A Wigan1–0
H Chelsea U210–2
Bradford form
LWDDWH Huddersfield0–3
H Peterborough2–0
A Oxford United0–0
A Burton Albion0–0
H Stevenage2–0
Head to head
2
Reading
2
Draw
1
Bradford
Oct 2026Reading – Bradford1–1
Feb 2026Reading – Bradford2–1
Dec 2025Bradford – Reading2–0
Mar 2015Reading – Bradford3–0
Mar 2015Bradford – Reading0–0
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Reading slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.07 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.16 for Reading, 0.64 for Bradford), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Reading sit 6th on 22 points; Bradford are 7th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.