Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
GERBundesliga · Matchday 5Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Leipzig Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig
4th · 15 pts6–0FULL TIME
Eintracht Frankfurt
8th · 11 pts55% RB
20% Draw
25% Eintracht
OUR PICK
RB Leipzig to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
2.31 – 1.52
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.81X5.0524.01
Goals 2.5Over1.36Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.42NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.36
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.42
GG
70%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt2.8Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game2.3
1.88Points per game1.38
63%Win rate38%
11Goal difference-5
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
RB Leipzig form
WWWLLA FC Schalke 040–2
A Rot-Weiß Essen1–2
H SV Elversberg4–0
A Real Madrid4–1
A Bayern München6–1
Eintracht Frankfurt form
WWLWLH Hamburger SV3–1
A Hamburger SV1–3
A Borussia Dortmund1–0
H 1. FC Köln1–0
A RB Leipzig6–0
Head to head
4
RB
0
Draw
1
Eintracht
Oct 2026RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt6–0
Apr 2026Eintracht Frankfurt – RB Leipzig1–3
Dec 2025RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt6–0
Apr 2025Eintracht Frankfurt – RB Leipzig4–0
Dec 2024RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt2–1
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8Eintracht Frankfurt8-511
9FSV Mainz 058010
10FC Augsburg8+39
Match preview
Our model makes RB Leipzig slight favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.81 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.31 for RB Leipzig, 1.52 for Eintracht Frankfurt), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
RB Leipzig sit 4th on 15 points; Eintracht Frankfurt are 8th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.