Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
BRASerie A · Matchday 30Tuesday, 13 October 2026 · Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
RB Bragantino
9th · 44 pts4–2FULL TIME
Cruzeiro
3rd · 57 pts40% RB
27% Draw
33% Cruzeiro
OUR PICK
RB Bragantino to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.49
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.18
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.49X3.7223.03
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.85
Both scoreGG1.96NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.96
GG
51%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
RB BragantinoCruzeiro1.3Goals per game1.6
1.2Conceded per game1.4
1.33Points per game1.73
36%Win rate52%
4Goal difference6
8Form, last 5 (pts)12
RB Bragantino form
WLDWDH Chapecoense-sc3–0
A Palmeiras2–0
A Remo1–1
H Cruzeiro4–2
H Mirassol1–1
Cruzeiro form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
RB
0
Draw
0
Cruzeiro
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8Santos33+247
9RB Bragantino33+444
10Sao Paulo33043
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: RB Bragantino 40%, the draw 27%, Cruzeiro 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.33 for RB Bragantino, 1.18 for Cruzeiro), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
RB Bragantino sit 9th on 44 points; Cruzeiro are 3rd on 57.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.