Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
BRASerie A · Matchday 33Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
RB Bragantino
9th · 44 pts3–0FULL TIME
Chapecoense-sc
20th · 21 pts64% RB
21% Draw
15% Chapecoense-sc
OUR PICK
RB Bragantino to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.86
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.55X4.8726.61
Goals 2.5Over1.82Under2.10
Both scoreGG2.00NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@2.00
GG
50%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Season stats
RB BragantinoChapecoense-sc1.3Goals per game1.0
1.2Conceded per game2.1
1.33Points per game0.66
36%Win rate13%
4Goal difference-34
8Form, last 5 (pts)3
RB Bragantino form
WLDWDH Chapecoense-sc3–0
A Palmeiras2–0
A Remo1–1
H Cruzeiro4–2
H Mirassol1–1
Chapecoense-sc form
LWLLLA RB Bragantino3–0
H Fluminense2–1
A Botafogo1–0
H Atletico Paranaense1–4
A Vitoria4–0
Head to head
0
RB
0
Draw
0
Chapecoense-sc
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8Santos33+247
9RB Bragantino33+444
10Sao Paulo33043
Match preview
Our model makes RB Bragantino clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (2.02 for RB Bragantino, 0.86 for Chapecoense-sc), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
RB Bragantino sit 9th on 44 points; Chapecoense-sc are 20th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.