Over 1.5 goals@1.06
Over 1.5
94%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 28Saturday, 24 October 2026 · NAMMO Stadion
Raufoss
16th · 20 pts1–3FULL TIME
Ranheim
7th · 41 pts19% Raufoss
16% Draw
64% Ranheim
OUR PICK
Ranheim to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.63 – 2.94
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.14X6.0821.56
Goals 2.5Over1.20Under5.55
Both scoreGG1.31NG3.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.20
Over 2.5
83%
Both teams to score@1.31
GG
76%
Double chance@1.20
12
84%
Season stats
RaufossRanheim1.1Goals per game2.5
2.7Conceded per game2.4
0.69Points per game1.41
21%Win rate41%
-47Goal difference4
1Form, last 5 (pts)10
Raufoss form
LLLLDA Lyn4–0
H Ranheim1–3
A Sogndal2–1
A hodd5–1
A Bryne1–1
Ranheim form
WLWWDH Sogndal2–1
H Fredrikstad2–5
A Raufoss1–3
H Bryne4–2
A hodd1–1
Head to head
0
Raufoss
2
Draw
3
Ranheim
Oct 2026Raufoss – Ranheim1–3
Apr 2026Ranheim – Raufoss5–1
Sept 2025Raufoss – Ranheim1–2
May 2025Ranheim – Raufoss1–1
Sept 2024Raufoss – Ranheim1–1
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger29+3659
4Stabaek29+3358
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Ranheim clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.6 goals in total (1.63 for Raufoss, 2.94 for Ranheim), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Raufoss sit 16th on 20 points; Ranheim are 7th on 41.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.