Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
85%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 30Sunday, 8 November 2026 · NAMMO Stadion
Raufoss
16th · 20 pts13:00KICK-OFF WAT
Egersund
8th · 38 pts25% Raufoss
21% Draw
54% Egersund
OUR PICK
Egersund to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.87
Expected goals
1.35 – 2.05
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.99X4.6921.87
Goals 2.5Over1.52Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.55NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.55
GG
65%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
RaufossEgersund1.1Goals per game1.7
2.7Conceded per game2.0
0.69Points per game1.31
21%Win rate34%
-47Goal difference-9
1Form, last 5 (pts)9
Raufoss form
LLLLDA Lyn4–0
H Ranheim1–3
A Sogndal2–1
A hodd5–1
A Bryne1–1
Egersund form
WWDDDH Strommen3–1
H Bryne1–0
A Bryne3–3
H Sogndal3–3
A Moss0–0
Head to head
2
Raufoss
0
Draw
3
Egersund
May 2026Egersund – Raufoss2–1
Oct 2025Egersund – Raufoss4–0
Apr 2025Raufoss – Egersund0–1
Aug 2024Raufoss – Egersund4–1
Jun 2024Egersund – Raufoss1–2
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger29+3659
4Stabaek29+3358
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Egersund slight favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.87 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.35 for Raufoss, 2.05 for Egersund), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Raufoss sit 16th on 20 points; Egersund are 8th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.