Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
AUTBundesliga · Matchday 9Friday, 16 October 2026 · Allianz Stadion
Rapid Vienna
1st · 30 pts3–1FULL TIME
TSV Hartberg
5th · 17 pts75% Rapid
14% Draw
11% TSV
OUR PICK
Rapid Vienna to win
Model probability 75% · fair odds
1.33
Expected goals
2.92 – 1.04
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.33X7.1229.46
Goals 2.5Over1.33Under3.77
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.33
Over 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.12
1X
89%
Season stats
Rapid ViennaTSV Hartberg3.0Goals per game1.8
0.8Conceded per game1.7
2.73Points per game1.55
91%Win rate45%
24Goal difference1
15Form, last 5 (pts)10
Rapid Vienna form
WWWWWA Austria Vienna0–2
A First Vienna0–3
H Austria Lustenau5–1
H TSV Hartberg3–1
A Lask Linz0–2
TSV Hartberg form
WDWLWA Grazer AK0–4
A Austria Vienna1–1
H Wolfsberger AC1–0
A Rapid Vienna3–1
H Austria Lustenau4–3
Head to head
2
Rapid
2
Draw
1
TSV
Oct 2026Rapid Vienna – TSV Hartberg3–1
Apr 2026Rapid Vienna – TSV Hartberg0–2
Apr 2026TSV Hartberg – Rapid Vienna2–2
Feb 2026Rapid Vienna – TSV Hartberg1–1
Aug 2025TSV Hartberg – Rapid Vienna0–1
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rapid Vienna11+2430
2Red Bull Salzburg11+2327
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz11+619
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau11-168
Match preview
Our model makes Rapid Vienna clear favourites, giving them a 75% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.33 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (2.92 for Rapid Vienna, 1.04 for TSV Hartberg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Rapid Vienna sit 1st on 30 points; TSV Hartberg are 5th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.