Over 1.5 goals@1.06
Over 1.5
94%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 24Friday, 2 October 2026 · EXTRA Arena
Ranheim
7th · 41 pts5–0FULL TIME
Egersund
8th · 38 pts53% Ranheim
18% Draw
28% Egersund
OUR PICK
Ranheim to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.87
Expected goals
2.63 – 1.91
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.87X5.4123.57
Goals 2.5Over1.21Under5.55
Both scoreGG1.26NG4.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.21
Over 2.5
83%
Both teams to score@1.26
GG
79%
Double chance@1.23
12
82%
Season stats
RanheimEgersund2.5Goals per game1.7
2.4Conceded per game2.0
1.41Points per game1.31
41%Win rate34%
4Goal difference-9
10Form, last 5 (pts)9
Ranheim form
WLWWDH Sogndal2–1
H Fredrikstad2–5
A Raufoss1–3
H Bryne4–2
A hodd1–1
Egersund form
WWDDDH Strommen3–1
H Bryne1–0
A Bryne3–3
H Sogndal3–3
A Moss0–0
Head to head
2
Ranheim
0
Draw
3
Egersund
Oct 2026Ranheim – Egersund5–0
Apr 2026Egersund – Ranheim3–0
Nov 2025Egersund – Ranheim3–2
Oct 2025Ranheim – Egersund0–4
Jun 2025Egersund – Ranheim3–4
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger28+3759
4Stabaek28+3255
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Ranheim slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.87 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.5 goals in total (2.63 for Ranheim, 1.91 for Egersund), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ranheim sit 7th on 41 points; Egersund are 8th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.