Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Ibrox Stadium
Rangers
2nd · 24 pts3–1FULL TIME
Kilmarnock
11th · 9 pts76% Rangers
15% Draw
9% Kilmarnock
OUR PICK
Rangers to win
Model probability 76% · fair odds
1.32
Expected goals
2.50 – 0.73
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.32X6.54211.32
Goals 2.5Over1.60Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.60
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.10
1X
91%
Season stats
RangersKilmarnock1.7Goals per game1.1
0.8Conceded per game2.3
2.18Points per game0.75
64%Win rate17%
10Goal difference-15
11Form, last 5 (pts)4
Rangers form
No recent matches.
Kilmarnock form
DLLWLH ST Johnstone2–2
A Dundee3–1
A Falkirk3–0
H Motherwell3–2
A Rangers3–1
Head to head
0
Rangers
0
Draw
0
Kilmarnock
These sides haven't met recently.
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model makes Rangers clear favourites, giving them a 76% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.32 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (2.50 for Rangers, 0.73 for Kilmarnock), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Rangers sit 2nd on 24 points; Kilmarnock are 11th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.