Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
68%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 10Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Cepheus Park Randers
Randers FC
10th · 11 pts0–2FULL TIME
Viborg
3rd · 23 pts27% Randers
27% Draw
46% Viborg
OUR PICK
Viborg to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.18
Expected goals
0.99 – 1.38
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.71X3.6822.18
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.73
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.89
NG
53%
Double chance@1.37
X2
73%
Season stats
Randers FCViborg1.0Goals per game1.5
1.6Conceded per game0.9
0.85Points per game1.77
23%Win rate54%
-8Goal difference8
1Form, last 5 (pts)9
Randers FC form
LLDLLA Lyngby2–1
H Brondby1–3
A AC Horsens0–0
H Viborg0–2
H Aalborg0–1
Viborg form
WLLWLH AC Horsens1–0
A Aarhus2–1
H FC Midtjylland1–2
A Randers FC0–2
A Holstein Kiel3–1
Head to head
3
Randers
0
Draw
2
Viborg
Oct 2026Randers FC – Viborg0–2
Jan 2026Randers FC – Viborg2–0
Nov 2025Viborg – Randers FC3–2
Oct 2025Randers FC – Viborg2–1
Dec 2024Viborg – Randers FC1–2
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen13+1629
3Viborg13+823
4Brondby13+322
5FC Nordsjaelland13+320
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus13-412
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model makes Viborg slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.18 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (0.99 for Randers FC, 1.38 for Viborg), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Randers FC sit 10th on 11 points; Viborg are 3rd on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.