Over 1.5 goals@1.61
Over 1.5
62%
NGANPFL · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026
Ranchers Bees
19th · 9 pts0–0FULL TIME
Niger Tornadoes
8th · 16 pts34% Ranchers
30% Draw
36% Niger
OUR PICK
Niger Tornadoes to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.79
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.07
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.92X3.3522.79
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.55
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.74
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.55
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.74
NG
58%
Double chance@1.43
12
70%
Season stats
Ranchers BeesNiger Tornadoes1.1Goals per game0.8
1.4Conceded per game0.7
0.90Points per game1.45
20%Win rate36%
-3Goal difference1
3Form, last 5 (pts)11
Ranchers Bees form
DLDLDA Inter Lagos1–1
A Shooting Stars3–1
H Niger Tornadoes0–0
A Kwara United2–1
H Rivers United0–0
Niger Tornadoes form
DWWDWH Barau FC0–0
A Abia Warriors0–1
H Ikorodu City2–1
A Ranchers Bees0–0
H Kun Khalifat FC1–0
Head to head
0
Ranchers
1
Draw
0
Niger
Oct 2026Ranchers Bees – Niger Tornadoes0–0
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Ranchers Bees 34%, the draw 30%, Niger Tornadoes 36%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.04 for Ranchers Bees, 1.07 for Niger Tornadoes), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ranchers Bees sit 19th on 9 points; Niger Tornadoes are 8th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.