Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 13Monday, 2 November 2026 · Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie
Raków Częstochowa
18th · 6 pts20:30KICK-OFF WAT
Pogon Szczecin
4th · 24 pts18% Raków
20% Draw
62% Pogon
OUR PICK
Pogon Szczecin to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.03 – 2.12
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.71X4.9521.61
Goals 2.5Over1.64Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.77NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.77
GG
57%
Double chance@1.21
X2
82%
Season stats
Raków CzęstochowaPogon Szczecin1.3Goals per game1.7
2.3Conceded per game0.8
0.50Points per game2.18
17%Win rate64%
-12Goal difference10
3Form, last 5 (pts)15
Raków Częstochowa form
No recent matches.
Pogon Szczecin form
WWWDWH Radomiak Radom4–3
A GKS Katowice0–1
H Korona Kielce2–0
H Udinese1–1
A Piast Gliwice1–2
Head to head
0
Raków
0
Draw
0
Pogon
These sides haven't met recently.
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
Match preview
Our model makes Pogon Szczecin clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.61 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.03 for Raków Częstochowa, 2.12 for Pogon Szczecin), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Raków Częstochowa sit 18th on 6 points; Pogon Szczecin are 4th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.