Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 10Friday, 9 October 2026 · Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow
Raków Częstochowa
17th · 9 pts1–4FULL TIME
GKS Katowice
6th · 21 pts34% Raków
22% Draw
45% GKS
OUR PICK
GKS Katowice to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.24
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.95
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.96X4.6122.24
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.43NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.43
GG
70%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Raków CzęstochowaGKS Katowice1.5Goals per game1.9
2.2Conceded per game1.5
0.69Points per game1.62
23%Win rate54%
-10Goal difference6
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Raków Częstochowa form
WDLWLH Pogon Szczecin3–1
A Motor Lublin1–1
A Wisla Krakow2–1
A Wieczysta Kraków1–2
H GKS Katowice1–4
GKS Katowice form
WLLLWH Widzew Łódź3–2
A Górnik Łęczna1–0
A Korona Kielce1–0
H Pogon Szczecin0–1
H Wieczysta Kraków2–1
Head to head
2
Raków
2
Draw
1
GKS
Oct 2026Raków Częstochowa – GKS Katowice1–4
Jul 2026GKS Katowice – Raków Częstochowa1–1
Apr 2026Raków Częstochowa – GKS Katowice3–3
Dec 2025Raków Częstochowa – GKS Katowice1–0
Jul 2025GKS Katowice – Raków Częstochowa0–1
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin12+824
5Zaglebie Lubin13+122
6GKS Katowice13+621
7Piast Gliwice13+421
8Wisla Krakow13+221
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce13-518
Match preview
Our model makes GKS Katowice slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.24 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.68 for Raków Częstochowa, 1.95 for GKS Katowice), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Raków Częstochowa sit 17th on 9 points; GKS Katowice are 6th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.