Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
71%
MARBotola Pro · Matchday 5Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Stade Mohamed V
Raja Casablanca
13th · 6 pts1–1FULL TIME
Hassania Agadir
7th · 8 pts44% Raja
27% Draw
29% Hassania
OUR PICK
Raja Casablanca to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.27
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.08
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.27X3.7323.42
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.81
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
50%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Raja CasablancaHassania Agadir0.6Goals per game2.0
0.8Conceded per game1.7
1.20Points per game1.33
20%Win rate33%
-1Goal difference2
6Form, last 5 (pts)5
Raja Casablanca form
LDWDDA Renaissance Berkane2–0
H Hassania Agadir1–1
H El Kanemi Warriors2–0
A El Kanemi Warriors2–2
A FUS Rabat1–1
Hassania Agadir form
LDDWLA FUS Rabat1–0
A Raja Casablanca1–1
H FAR Rabat2–2
A CR Khemis Zemamra2–5
H Maghreb Fès1–2
Head to head
4
Raja
1
Draw
0
Hassania
Oct 2026Raja Casablanca – Hassania Agadir1–1
Jul 2026Raja Casablanca – Hassania Agadir2–0
Mar 2026Hassania Agadir – Raja Casablanca0–1
Apr 2025Raja Casablanca – Hassania Agadir1–0
Dec 2024Hassania Agadir – Raja Casablanca1–3
Botola Pro table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Kawkab Marrakech6+313
2CODM Meknès6+511
3Wydad AC6+211
4Ittihad Tanger6+110
5Widad Témara6+39
6FAR Rabat4+38
7Hassania Agadir6+28
8UTS Rabat608
9Difaa EL Jadida608
10Maghreb Fès608
Match preview
Our model makes Raja Casablanca slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.27 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.39 for Raja Casablanca, 1.08 for Hassania Agadir), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Raja Casablanca sit 13th on 6 points; Hassania Agadir are 7th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.