Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
SCOChampionship · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026
Raith Rovers
2nd · 24 pts2–0FULL TIME
Queen's Park
10th · 7 pts75% Raith
17% Draw
8% Queen's
OUR PICK
Raith Rovers to win
Model probability 75% · fair odds
1.32
Expected goals
2.18 – 0.53
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.32X5.92213.14
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.57
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.57
NG
64%
Double chance@1.08
1X
92%
Season stats
Raith RoversQueen's Park1.5Goals per game0.6
0.7Conceded per game1.7
1.85Points per game0.54
54%Win rate15%
11Goal difference-14
10Form, last 5 (pts)3
Raith Rovers form
WLDWWA Arbroath0–4
H Inverness CT0–2
A Stenhousemuir1–1
H Queen's Park2–0
A Morton1–2
Queen's Park form
LLLWLA Ayr Utd3–2
H Dunfermline0–1
A Morton2–0
H Inverness CT2–1
A Raith Rovers2–0
Head to head
4
Raith
1
Draw
0
Queen's
Oct 2026Raith Rovers – Queen's Park2–0
Aug 2026Queen's Park – Raith Rovers1–2
Apr 2026Queen's Park – Raith Rovers0–2
Jan 2026Queen's Park – Raith Rovers1–1
Jan 2026Raith Rovers – Queen's Park4–1
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Partick13+1025
2Raith Rovers13+1124
3Dunfermline13+824
4Stenhousemuir13+123
5Livingston13+720
6Inverness CT13+119
7Ayr Utd12-115
8Arbroath13-1511
9Morton12-810
10Queen's Park13-147
Match preview
Our model makes Raith Rovers clear favourites, giving them a 75% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.32 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (2.18 for Raith Rovers, 0.53 for Queen's Park), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Raith Rovers sit 2nd on 24 points; Queen's Park are 10th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.