Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
SCOChampionship · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026
Raith Rovers
2nd · 24 pts0–2FULL TIME
Inverness CT
6th · 19 pts68% Raith
20% Draw
12% Inverness
OUR PICK
Raith Rovers to win
Model probability 68% · fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
1.99 – 0.70
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.48X4.9728.22
Goals 2.5Over1.99Under1.89
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Over 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.77
NG
57%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
Raith RoversInverness CT1.5Goals per game1.3
0.7Conceded per game1.2
1.85Points per game1.46
54%Win rate38%
11Goal difference1
10Form, last 5 (pts)9
Raith Rovers form
WLDWWA Arbroath0–4
H Inverness CT0–2
A Stenhousemuir1–1
H Queen's Park2–0
A Morton1–2
Inverness CT form
LWWLWA Dunfermline5–1
A Raith Rovers0–2
H Arbroath2–0
A Queen's Park2–1
H Stenhousemuir2–0
Head to head
4
Raith
0
Draw
1
Inverness
Oct 2026Raith Rovers – Inverness CT0–2
Sept 2026Inverness CT – Raith Rovers0–2
Apr 2026Raith Rovers – Inverness CT4–1
Jul 2025Raith Rovers – Inverness CT5–1
Jul 2024Raith Rovers – Inverness CT1–0
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Partick13+1025
2Raith Rovers13+1124
3Dunfermline13+824
4Stenhousemuir13+123
5Livingston13+720
6Inverness CT13+119
7Ayr Utd12-115
8Arbroath13-1511
9Morton12-810
10Queen's Park13-147
Match preview
Our model makes Raith Rovers clear favourites, giving them a 68% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.99 for Raith Rovers, 0.70 for Inverness CT), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Raith Rovers sit 2nd on 24 points; Inverness CT are 6th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.