Over 1.5 goals@1.96
Over 1.5
51%
SCOChampionship · Matchday 14Friday, 6 November 2026
Raith Rovers
2nd · 24 pts20:30KICK-OFF WAT
Dunfermline
3rd · 24 pts40% Raith
34% Draw
26% Dunfermline
OUR PICK
Raith Rovers to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.49
Expected goals
0.98 – 0.73
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.49X2.9823.80
Goals 2.5Over3.77Under1.33
Both scoreGG2.95NG1.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.33
Under 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.48
NG
68%
Double chance@1.36
1X
74%
Season stats
Raith RoversDunfermline1.5Goals per game1.2
0.7Conceded per game0.5
1.85Points per game1.85
54%Win rate46%
11Goal difference8
10Form, last 5 (pts)11
Raith Rovers form
WLDWWA Arbroath0–4
H Inverness CT0–2
A Stenhousemuir1–1
H Queen's Park2–0
A Morton1–2
Dunfermline form
WWWDDH Inverness CT5–1
A Stenhousemuir0–1
A Queen's Park0–1
H Partick1–1
H Livingston0–0
Head to head
1
Raith
0
Draw
4
Dunfermline
Aug 2026Dunfermline – Raith Rovers1–0
Mar 2026Dunfermline – Raith Rovers3–0
Dec 2025Raith Rovers – Dunfermline1–2
Oct 2025Dunfermline – Raith Rovers2–0
Aug 2025Raith Rovers – Dunfermline2–0
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Partick13+1025
2Raith Rovers13+1124
3Dunfermline13+824
4Stenhousemuir13+123
5Livingston13+720
6Inverness CT13+119
7Ayr Utd12-115
8Arbroath13-1511
9Morton12-810
10Queen's Park13-147
Match preview
Our model makes Raith Rovers slight favourites, giving them a 40% chance of winning against 34% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (0.98 for Raith Rovers, 0.73 for Dunfermline), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Raith Rovers sit 2nd on 24 points; Dunfermline are 3rd on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.