Over 1.5 goals@1.44
Over 1.5
70%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 12Friday, 16 October 2026 · EFBET Stadion
Radnik Surdulica
6th · 20 pts3–0FULL TIME
Radnicki NIS
13th · 8 pts57% Radnik
25% Draw
18% Radnicki
OUR PICK
Radnik Surdulica to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.62 – 0.80
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.76X4.0425.43
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.77
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.79
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.77
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.79
NG
56%
Double chance@1.23
1X
82%
Season stats
Radnik SurdulicaRadnicki NIS1.3Goals per game0.7
1.2Conceded per game1.8
1.43Points per game0.62
36%Win rate15%
1Goal difference-14
7Form, last 5 (pts)0
Radnik Surdulica form
WWLWLA Mladost Lucani0–1
A Borac Cacak1–2
A Radnicki 19231–0
H Radnicki NIS3–0
A IMT Novi Beograd1–0
Radnicki NIS form
LLLLH FK Partizan2–3
H Novi Pazar0–2
A Radnik Surdulica3–0
H Vojvodina1–4
Head to head
2
Radnik
1
Draw
2
Radnicki
Oct 2026Radnik Surdulica – Radnicki NIS3–0
Mar 2026Radnik Surdulica – Radnicki NIS2–2
Oct 2025Radnicki NIS – Radnik Surdulica4–2
Apr 2024Radnicki NIS – Radnik Surdulica1–0
Mar 2024Radnicki NIS – Radnik Surdulica0–3
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4Radnicki 192314+523
5IMT Novi Beograd14+622
6Radnik Surdulica14+120
7Cukaricki14-119
8Mladost Lucani14-718
9FK Partizan14017
10Novi Pazar14-316
Match preview
Our model makes Radnik Surdulica clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.62 for Radnik Surdulica, 0.80 for Radnicki NIS), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Radnik Surdulica sit 6th on 20 points; Radnicki NIS are 13th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.