Over 1.5 goals@1.66
Over 1.5
60%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 13Friday, 23 October 2026 · Čair Stadium
Radnicki NIS
13th · 8 pts0–2FULL TIME
Novi Pazar
10th · 16 pts32% Radnicki
31% Draw
38% Novi
OUR PICK
Novi Pazar to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.66
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.07
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.14X3.2822.66
Goals 2.5Over2.86Under1.50
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.68
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Under 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.68
NG
59%
Double chance@1.44
12
69%
Season stats
Radnicki NISNovi Pazar0.7Goals per game0.9
1.8Conceded per game1.1
0.62Points per game1.14
15%Win rate29%
-14Goal difference-3
0Form, last 5 (pts)4
Radnicki NIS form
LLLLLH FK Partizan2–3
H Novi Pazar0–2
A Radnik Surdulica3–0
H Vojvodina1–4
A Lokomotiv Sofia4–1
Novi Pazar form
LWWLLA Radnicki 19232–0
A FK Vozdovac1–3
A Radnicki NIS0–2
H IMT Novi Beograd1–2
A FK Partizan1–0
Head to head
1
Radnicki
1
Draw
3
Novi
Oct 2026Radnicki NIS – Novi Pazar0–2
Dec 2025Novi Pazar – Radnicki NIS1–0
Aug 2025Radnicki NIS – Novi Pazar2–3
Apr 2025Novi Pazar – Radnicki NIS3–3
Nov 2024Radnicki NIS – Novi Pazar2–1
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4Radnicki 192314+523
5IMT Novi Beograd14+622
6Radnik Surdulica14+120
7Cukaricki14-119
8Mladost Lucani14-718
9FK Partizan14017
10Novi Pazar14-316
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Radnicki NIS 32%, the draw 31%, Novi Pazar 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.66 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (0.96 for Radnicki NIS, 1.07 for Novi Pazar), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Radnicki NIS sit 13th on 8 points; Novi Pazar are 10th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.