Over 1.5 goals@1.08
Over 1.5
93%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 11Sunday, 1 November 2026 · El Sardinero
Racing Santander
15th · 11 pts16:15KICK-OFF WAT
Real Madrid
3rd · 24 pts13% Racing
15% Draw
72% Real
OUR PICK
Real Madrid to win
Model probability 72% · fair odds
1.39
Expected goals
1.28 – 3.00
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X217.45X6.7721.39
Goals 2.5Over1.25Under4.72
Both scoreGG1.46NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.25
Over 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.46
GG
69%
Double chance@1.16
X2
87%
Season stats
Racing SantanderReal Madrid1.5Goals per game2.5
2.6Conceded per game1.0
1.10Points per game2.40
30%Win rate80%
-11Goal difference15
4Form, last 5 (pts)12
Racing Santander form
WWLDLA Ribadesella CF0–2
H Espanyol2–1
A Osasuna2–0
H Valencia2–2
A Celta Vigo5–0
Real Madrid form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Racing
1
Draw
3
Real
Feb 2012Real Madrid – Racing Santander4–0
Sept 2011Racing Santander – Real Madrid0–0
Mar 2011Racing Santander – Real Madrid1–3
Oct 2010Real Madrid – Racing Santander6–1
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid10+1524
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad10+119
6Sevilla10017
7Athletic Club9+312
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
Match preview
Our model makes Real Madrid clear favourites, giving them a 72% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.3 goals in total (1.28 for Racing Santander, 3.00 for Real Madrid), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Racing Santander sit 15th on 11 points; Real Madrid are 3rd on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.