Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
82%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 10Saturday, 24 October 2026 · El Sardinero
Racing Santander
16th · 11 pts2–1FULL TIME
Espanyol
14th · 11 pts27% Racing
23% Draw
51% Espanyol
OUR PICK
Espanyol to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.98
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.86
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.73X4.4121.98
Goals 2.5Over1.64Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.29
12
77%
Season stats
Racing SantanderEspanyol1.4Goals per game1.2
2.6Conceded per game1.3
1.00Points per game1.00
27%Win rate27%
-14Goal difference-1
4Form, last 5 (pts)4
Racing Santander form
LWWLDH Real Madrid0–3
A Ribadesella CF0–2
H Espanyol2–1
A Osasuna2–0
H Valencia2–2
Espanyol form
WLLLDA Villarreal0–1
A Sestao River4–3
A Racing Santander2–1
H Atletico Madrid0–1
A Malaga1–1
Head to head
2
Racing
0
Draw
3
Espanyol
Oct 2026Racing Santander – Espanyol2–1
Feb 2024Racing Santander – Espanyol2–0
Aug 2023Espanyol – Racing Santander2–0
Mar 2012Espanyol – Racing Santander3–1
Oct 2011Racing Santander – Espanyol0–1
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
Match preview
Our model makes Espanyol slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.98 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.30 for Racing Santander, 1.86 for Espanyol), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Racing Santander sit 16th on 11 points; Espanyol are 14th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.