Over 1.5 goals@1.63
Over 1.5
62%
URUPrimera División · Clausura - 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Racing Montevideo
4th · 60 pts3–1FULL TIME
Cerro Largo
11th · 37 pts55% Racing
27% Draw
18% Cerro
OUR PICK
Racing Montevideo to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.82
Expected goals
1.41 – 0.67
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.82X3.6525.64
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.53
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.58
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.58
NG
63%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
Racing MontevideoCerro Largo1.3Goals per game0.9
0.9Conceded per game1.2
1.71Points per game1.06
46%Win rate26%
14Goal difference-8
7Form, last 5 (pts)4
Racing Montevideo form
No recent matches.
Cerro Largo form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Racing
0
Draw
0
Cerro
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Penarol35+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado34+2262
3Atletico Torque34+1760
4Racing Montevideo35+1460
5Club Nacional34+1058
6Liverpool Montevideo34+1456
7Wanderers35-251
8Albion FC34+346
9Juventud34-441
10Central Espanol35-1341
Match preview
Our model makes Racing Montevideo clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.82 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.41 for Racing Montevideo, 0.67 for Cerro Largo), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Racing Montevideo sit 4th on 60 points; Cerro Largo are 11th on 37.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.