Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Estadio Juan Domingo Perón
Racing Club
1–1FULL TIME
Independiente
5th · 24 pts42% Racing
26% Draw
32% Independiente
OUR PICK
Racing Club to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.38
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.18
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.38X3.8023.16
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.91
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Racing Club form
WLDLWH Aldosivi2–1
A River Plate1–0
H Independiente1–1
H Belgrano Cordoba0–2
A Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–2
Independiente form
LDDLWH Boca Juniors0–1
A Racing Club1–1
A Talleres Cordoba0–0
H Instituto Cordoba1–4
A Union Santa Fe1–2
Head to head
0
Racing
4
Draw
1
Independiente
Oct 2026Racing Club – Independiente1–1
Apr 2026Independiente – Racing Club1–0
Sept 2025Racing Club – Independiente0–0
Mar 2025Independiente – Racing Club1–1
Aug 2024Racing Club – Independiente0–0
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Racing Club slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.40 for Racing Club, 1.18 for Independiente), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.