Over 1.5 goals@1.76
Over 1.5
57%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 35Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
Quilmes
2–1FULL TIME
San Martin Tucuman
39% Quilmes
32% Draw
30% San
OUR PICK
Quilmes to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.58
Expected goals
1.04 – 0.87
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.58X3.1723.37
Goals 2.5Over3.14Under1.43
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.60
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.43
Under 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.60
NG
62%
Double chance@1.42
1X
70%
Quilmes form
WWLLDA Gimnasia Y Tiro0–1
H San Martin Tucuman2–1
A Atletico DE Rafaela1–0
H Agropecuario0–1
A Tristan Suarez0–0
San Martin Tucuman form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Quilmes
0
Draw
0
San
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes35+149
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Quilmes 39%, the draw 32%, San Martin Tucuman 30%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.04 for Quilmes, 0.87 for San Martin Tucuman), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.