Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 29Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Guzhenkou University Sports Center
Qingdao Youth Island
7th · 39 pts1–1FULL TIME
Yunnan Yukun
6th · 40 pts43% Qingdao
23% Draw
34% Yunnan
OUR PICK
Qingdao Youth Island to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.35
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.49
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.35X4.2722.94
Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.58NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.58
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
77%
Season stats
Qingdao Youth IslandYunnan Yukun1.1Goals per game2.0
1.3Conceded per game2.1
1.34Points per game1.38
28%Win rate38%
-6Goal difference-3
3Form, last 5 (pts)5
Qingdao Youth Island form
DLLDDH Yunnan Yukun1–1
A Beijing Guoan1–0
H Dalian Zhixing0–4
A Wuhan Three Towns2–2
A Tianjin Teda1–1
Yunnan Yukun form
WDDLWH Dalian Zhixing4–3
A Qingdao Youth Island1–1
H Chongqing Tongliang Long1–1
A Shanghai Shenhua7–1
H Shenyang Urban5–0
Head to head
1
Qingdao
2
Draw
1
Yunnan
Oct 2026Qingdao Youth Island – Yunnan Yukun1–1
May 2026Yunnan Yukun – Qingdao Youth Island2–3
Nov 2025Yunnan Yukun – Qingdao Youth Island1–0
Jun 2025Qingdao Youth Island – Yunnan Yukun0–0
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Qingdao Youth Island 43%, the draw 23%, Yunnan Yukun 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.69 for Qingdao Youth Island, 1.49 for Yunnan Yukun), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Qingdao Youth Island sit 7th on 39 points; Yunnan Yukun are 6th on 40.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.