Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 30Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Qingdao Youth Football Stadium
Qingdao Jonoon
16th · 14 pts08:30KICK-OFF WAT
Sichuan Jiuniu
11th · 32 pts36% Qingdao
24% Draw
40% Sichuan
OUR PICK
Sichuan Jiuniu to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.48
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.61
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.78X4.2122.48
Goals 2.5Over1.66Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
62%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Qingdao JonoonSichuan Jiuniu1.2Goals per game1.3
2.1Conceded per game1.8
0.48Points per game1.10
21%Win rate31%
-28Goal difference-12
0Form, last 5 (pts)5
Qingdao Jonoon form
LLLLLA Chongqing Tongliang Long2–0
H Shenyang Urban0–4
H Beijing Guoan0–3
A Dalian Zhixing2–1
H Wuhan Three Towns1–5
Sichuan Jiuniu form
WLDDLH Shanghai Shenhua2–1
A Dalian Zhixing3–1
H Henan Jianye2–2
A Shandong Luneng1–1
H SHANGHAI SIPG0–1
Head to head
2
Qingdao
0
Draw
3
Sichuan
May 2026Sichuan Jiuniu – Qingdao Jonoon3–2
Jul 2025Sichuan Jiuniu – Qingdao Jonoon4–0
Mar 2025Qingdao Jonoon – Sichuan Jiuniu0–1
Aug 2024Qingdao Jonoon – Sichuan Jiuniu1–0
Apr 2024Sichuan Jiuniu – Qingdao Jonoon1–3
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Qingdao Jonoon 36%, the draw 24%, Sichuan Jiuniu 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.51 for Qingdao Jonoon, 1.61 for Sichuan Jiuniu), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Qingdao Jonoon sit 16th on 14 points; Sichuan Jiuniu are 11th on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.