Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
82%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 28Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Qingdao Youth Football Stadium
Qingdao Jonoon
16th · 14 pts0–4FULL TIME
Shenyang Urban
13th · 29 pts40% Qingdao
24% Draw
36% Shenyang
OUR PICK
Qingdao Jonoon to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.49
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.54
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.49X4.2522.75
Goals 2.5Over1.63Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.58NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.58
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Qingdao JonoonShenyang Urban1.2Goals per game1.4
2.1Conceded per game1.8
0.48Points per game1.00
21%Win rate28%
-28Goal difference-11
0Form, last 5 (pts)4
Qingdao Jonoon form
LLLLLA Chongqing Tongliang Long2–0
H Shenyang Urban0–4
H Beijing Guoan0–3
A Dalian Zhixing2–1
H Wuhan Three Towns1–5
Shenyang Urban form
LWDLLH Hangzhou Greentown2–4
A Qingdao Jonoon0–4
H Wuhan Three Towns1–1
A Tianjin Teda1–0
A Yunnan Yukun5–0
Head to head
2
Qingdao
1
Draw
2
Shenyang
Oct 2026Qingdao Jonoon – Shenyang Urban0–4
May 2026Shenyang Urban – Qingdao Jonoon2–1
May 2025Shenyang Urban – Qingdao Jonoon0–0
Dec 2022Qingdao Jonoon – Shenyang Urban2–0
Nov 2022Shenyang Urban – Qingdao Jonoon0–3
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Qingdao Jonoon 40%, the draw 24%, Shenyang Urban 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.63 for Qingdao Jonoon, 1.54 for Shenyang Urban), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Qingdao Jonoon sit 16th on 14 points; Shenyang Urban are 13th on 29.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.