Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 15Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Puebla
14th · 16 pts1–2FULL TIME
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
10th · 20 pts41% Puebla
25% Draw
33% U.N.A.M.
OUR PICK
Puebla to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.42
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.28
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.42X3.9223.02
Goals 2.5Over1.94Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.80NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.80
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
PueblaU.N.A.M. - Pumas1.1Goals per game1.5
1.5Conceded per game1.6
1.07Points per game1.33
27%Win rate33%
-6Goal difference-2
2Form, last 5 (pts)8
Puebla form
LLLDDH U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–2
A Atlas4–3
H Monterrey1–4
A Club Tijuana0–0
H Leon1–1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas form
WDLWDA Puebla1–2
H Tigres UANL1–1
A Santos Laguna2–0
A Atlante FC1–2
H Cruz Azul3–3
Head to head
0
Puebla
1
Draw
4
U.N.A.M.
Oct 2026Puebla – U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–2
Feb 2026Puebla – U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–3
Aug 2025U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Puebla0–0
Mar 2025Puebla – U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–3
Sept 2024U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Puebla1–0
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Puebla 41%, the draw 25%, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.42 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.46 for Puebla, 1.28 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Puebla sit 14th on 16 points; U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 10th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.