Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
WORUEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven
18th · 4 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
Club Brugge KV
11th · 6 pts39% PSV
24% Draw
37% Club
OUR PICK
PSV Eindhoven to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.55
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.55
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.55X4.2322.69
Goals 2.5Over1.64Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.59NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.59
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
PSV EindhovenClub Brugge KV0.7Goals per game3.0
0.7Conceded per game2.0
1.33Points per game2.00
33%Win rate67%
0Goal difference3
4Form, last 5 (pts)6
PSV Eindhoven form
WDWLLH Willem II7–0
H Feyenoord1–1
A FC Porto0–1
A ADO Den Haag2–1
A RB Leipzig1–0
Club Brugge KV form
WWWWWA Zulte Waregem2–4
H St. Truiden3–2
H Lens3–0
H Lokeren-Temse1–0
A Inter3–4
Head to head
0
PSV
1
Draw
1
Club
Jul 2024PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge KV1–1
Jan 2020PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge KV1–2
UEFA Champions League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: PSV Eindhoven 39%, the draw 24%, Club Brugge KV 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.60 for PSV Eindhoven, 1.55 for Club Brugge KV), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
PSV Eindhoven sit 18th on 4 points; Club Brugge KV are 11th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.