Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 8Friday, 9 October 2026 · LVM-Preußenstadion
Preußen Münster
14th · 15 pts3–3FULL TIME
Rot-Weiß Essen
3rd · 24 pts30% Preußen
25% Draw
45% Rot-Weiß
OUR PICK
Rot-Weiß Essen to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.22
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.52
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.39X3.9422.22
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.85NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.85
GG
54%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Preußen MünsterRot-Weiß Essen1.7Goals per game1.7
1.9Conceded per game1.1
1.25Points per game2.00
33%Win rate58%
-3Goal difference7
4Form, last 5 (pts)10
Preußen Münster form
LWLLDA Alemannia Aachen2–1
H Fortuna Köln1–0
A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3–2
H Fortuna Düsseldorf1–2
H Rot-Weiß Essen3–3
Rot-Weiß Essen form
WLWLWA SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach0–1
H RB Leipzig1–2
H SSV Jahn Regensburg1–0
A FC Ingolstadt 041–0
H Fortuna Köln2–0
Head to head
1
Preußen
2
Draw
2
Rot-Weiß
Oct 2026Preußen Münster – Rot-Weiß Essen3–3
Jan 2024Preussen Munster – Rot-weiss Essen2–1
Aug 2023Rot-weiss Essen – Preussen Munster1–0
Feb 2022Rot-weiss Essen – Preussen Munster1–1
Sept 2021Preussen Munster – Rot-weiss Essen2–3
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Rot-Weiß Essen slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.22 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.18 for Preußen Münster, 1.52 for Rot-Weiß Essen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Preußen Münster sit 14th on 15 points; Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.