Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Preussenstadion
Preußen Münster
14th · 15 pts16:30KICK-OFF WAT
MSV Duisburg
2nd · 26 pts28% Preußen
20% Draw
52% MSV
OUR PICK
MSV Duisburg to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.92
Expected goals
1.71 – 2.34
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.54X5.0621.92
Goals 2.5Over1.30Under4.10
Both scoreGG1.35NG3.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.30
Over 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.35
GG
74%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
Preußen MünsterMSV Duisburg1.7Goals per game2.6
1.9Conceded per game1.4
1.36Points per game2.17
36%Win rate67%
-2Goal difference14
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
Preußen Münster form
LWLLDA Alemannia Aachen2–1
H Fortuna Köln1–0
A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3–2
H Fortuna Düsseldorf1–2
H Rot-Weiß Essen3–3
MSV Duisburg form
DLDWWH Stuttgart II3–3
A FC Ingolstadt 042–1
H FC Viktoria Köln1–1
A FC Saarbrücken2–4
H Hoffenheim II3–2
Head to head
2
Preußen
1
Draw
2
MSV
Feb 2024Preussen Munster – MSV Duisburg3–1
Sept 2023MSV Duisburg – Preussen Munster0–0
Jul 2021MSV Duisburg – Preussen Munster2–3
Aug 2020MSV Duisburg – Preussen Munster1–0
Feb 2020Preussen Munster – MSV Duisburg1–4
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen11+621
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5SV Wehen12+618
6FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
7Alemannia Aachen11017
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes MSV Duisburg slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.92 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (1.71 for Preußen Münster, 2.34 for MSV Duisburg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Preußen Münster sit 14th on 15 points; MSV Duisburg are 2nd on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.