Over 1.5 goals@1.36
Over 1.5
74%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 9Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · LVM-Preußenstadion
Preußen Münster
14th · 15 pts1–2FULL TIME
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10th · 16 pts47% Preußen
26% Draw
27% Fortuna
OUR PICK
Preußen Münster to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.10
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.13X3.9123.64
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.95
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.34
12
74%
Season stats
Preußen MünsterFortuna Düsseldorf1.7Goals per game1.0
1.9Conceded per game1.2
1.25Points per game1.33
33%Win rate33%
-3Goal difference-2
4Form, last 5 (pts)6
Preußen Münster form
LWLLDA Alemannia Aachen2–1
H Fortuna Köln1–0
A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3–2
H Fortuna Düsseldorf1–2
H Rot-Weiß Essen3–3
Fortuna Düsseldorf form
DDLWDH SV Meppen0–0
A Hansa Rostock1–1
H FC Saarbrücken1–3
A Preußen Münster1–2
H Verl2–2
Head to head
1
Preußen
1
Draw
3
Fortuna
Oct 2026Preußen Münster – Fortuna Düsseldorf1–2
Feb 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf – Preußen Münster0–0
Sept 2025Preußen Münster – Fortuna Düsseldorf1–2
Apr 2025Fortuna Düsseldorf – Preußen Münster1–0
Nov 2024Preußen Münster – Fortuna Düsseldorf1–0
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Preußen Münster slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.52 for Preußen Münster, 1.10 for Fortuna Düsseldorf), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Preußen Münster sit 14th on 15 points; Fortuna Düsseldorf are 10th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.