Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
ENGChampionship · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Deepdale Stadium
Preston
24th · 5 pts1–1FULL TIME
West Brom
4th · 24 pts17% Preston
23% Draw
60% West
OUR PICK
West Brom to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
0.84 – 1.81
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.88X4.4121.66
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.98
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.21
X2
83%
Season stats
PrestonWest Brom0.8Goals per game1.5
2.1Conceded per game1.1
0.38Points per game1.85
8%Win rate54%
-17Goal difference5
1Form, last 5 (pts)10
Preston form
LDLLLA Stoke City2–0
H West Brom1–1
A Wrexham4–1
A Birmingham4–0
H Millwall0–1
West Brom form
WDWWLA West Ham1–3
A Preston1–1
H Blackburn3–2
A Wrexham1–2
H Birmingham0–1
Head to head
0
Preston
2
Draw
3
West
Oct 2026Preston – West Brom1–1
Apr 2026Preston – West Brom0–2
Oct 2025West Brom – Preston2–1
Jan 2025West Brom – Preston3–1
Nov 2024Preston – West Brom1–1
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
Match preview
Our model makes West Brom clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.66 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (0.84 for Preston, 1.81 for West Brom), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Preston sit 24th on 5 points; West Brom are 4th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.