Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
ENGChampionship · Matchday 14Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · Deepdale Stadium
Preston
24th · 5 pts20:45KICK-OFF WAT
Sheffield Utd
10th · 19 pts21% Preston
25% Draw
54% Sheffield
OUR PICK
Sheffield Utd to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.58
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.78X3.9621.86
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.80
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.87
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.87
NG
54%
Double chance@1.26
X2
79%
Season stats
PrestonSheffield Utd0.8Goals per game1.3
2.1Conceded per game1.2
0.38Points per game1.46
8%Win rate38%
-17Goal difference2
1Form, last 5 (pts)10
Preston form
LDLLLA Stoke City2–0
H West Brom1–1
A Wrexham4–1
A Birmingham4–0
H Millwall0–1
Sheffield Utd form
WDWLWH Wrexham1–0
H Derby1–1
A Bristol City0–1
A Portsmouth3–2
H Lincoln3–0
Head to head
2
Preston
0
Draw
3
Sheffield
Apr 2026Sheffield Utd – Preston2–3
Oct 2025Preston – Sheffield Utd3–2
Mar 2025Sheffield Utd – Preston1–0
Aug 2024Preston – Sheffield Utd0–2
Apr 2023Sheffield Utd – Preston4–1
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
Match preview
Our model makes Sheffield Utd clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.86 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (0.88 for Preston, 1.58 for Sheffield Utd), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Preston sit 24th on 5 points; Sheffield Utd are 10th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.