Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 33Monday, 2 November 2026 · Providence Park
Portland Timbers
11th · 40 pts03:45KICK-OFF WAT
Houston Dynamo
5th · 51 pts41% Portland
25% Draw
34% Houston
OUR PICK
Portland Timbers to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.41
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.37
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.41X4.0622.95
Goals 2.5Over1.80Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
59%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo1.8Goals per game1.3
1.9Conceded per game1.2
1.25Points per game1.59
34%Win rate44%
-3Goal difference3
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
Portland Timbers form
No recent matches.
Houston Dynamo form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Portland
0
Draw
0
Houston
These sides haven't met recently.
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders32+143
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Portland Timbers 41%, the draw 25%, Houston Dynamo 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.41 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.54 for Portland Timbers, 1.37 for Houston Dynamo), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Portland Timbers sit 11th on 40 points; Houston Dynamo are 5th on 51.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.