Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
85%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 30Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Providence Park
Portland Timbers
8th · 43 pts0–0FULL TIME
Colorado Rapids
9th · 43 pts47% Portland
22% Draw
31% Colorado
OUR PICK
Portland Timbers to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.50
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.13X4.4923.25
Goals 2.5Over1.52Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.52NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.52
GG
66%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
Portland TimbersColorado Rapids1.8Goals per game1.4
1.8Conceded per game1.4
1.30Points per game1.30
36%Win rate36%
-1Goal difference-1
10Form, last 5 (pts)6
Portland Timbers form
WWWDLH Houston Dynamo3–1
A St. Louis City2–3
H Charlotte3–2
H Colorado Rapids0–0
A Los Angeles Galaxy2–0
Colorado Rapids form
LDWDDH Chicago Fire2–4
A San Jose Earthquakes2–2
H Vancouver Whitecaps1–0
A Portland Timbers0–0
H Minnesota United FC2–2
Head to head
2
Portland
1
Draw
2
Colorado
Oct 2026Portland Timbers – Colorado Rapids0–0
Feb 2026Colorado Rapids – Portland Timbers2–0
May 2025Portland Timbers – Colorado Rapids2–1
Mar 2025Colorado Rapids – Portland Timbers0–3
Sept 2024Colorado Rapids – Portland Timbers2–1
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Portland Timbers slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.89 for Portland Timbers, 1.50 for Colorado Rapids), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Portland Timbers sit 8th on 43 points; Colorado Rapids are 9th on 43.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.