Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 31Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Providence Park
Portland Timbers
8th · 43 pts3–2FULL TIME
Charlotte
36% Portland
22% Draw
42% Charlotte
OUR PICK
Charlotte to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.40
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.87
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.74X4.5722.40
Goals 2.5Over1.43Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.43NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.43
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.43
GG
70%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Portland Timbers form
WWWDLH Houston Dynamo3–1
A St. Louis City2–3
H Charlotte3–2
H Colorado Rapids0–0
A Los Angeles Galaxy2–0
Charlotte form
WWLDLH Orlando City SC4–0
H CF Montreal4–0
A Portland Timbers3–2
A Philadelphia Union2–2
A Columbus Crew3–1
Head to head
1
Portland
0
Draw
2
Charlotte
Oct 2026Portland Timbers – Charlotte3–2
Feb 2025Charlotte – Portland Timbers2–0
May 2024Charlotte – Portland Timbers2–0
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Portland Timbers 36%, the draw 22%, Charlotte 42%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.40 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.74 for Portland Timbers, 1.87 for Charlotte), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.