Over 1.5 goals@1.68
Over 1.5
60%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 9Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Portimonense
11th · 11 pts0–0FULL TIME
Torreense
12th · 10 pts36% Portimonense
31% Draw
33% Torreense
OUR PICK
Portimonense to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.78
Expected goals
1.03 – 0.98
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.78X3.2523.00
Goals 2.5Over2.86Under1.48
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.67
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.48
Under 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.67
NG
60%
Double chance@1.44
12
69%
Season stats
PortimonenseTorreense0.7Goals per game0.9
1.1Conceded per game1.1
1.22Points per game1.11
33%Win rate22%
-4Goal difference-2
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
Portimonense form
No recent matches.
Torreense form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Portimonense
0
Draw
0
Torreense
These sides haven't met recently.
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa8+718
3Benfica B9+517
4Penafiel8+1016
5Academica9+315
6Farense8+414
7União de Leiria9+214
8Vizela9+114
9AVS9+112
10Tondela8+112
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Portimonense 36%, the draw 31%, Torreense 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.03 for Portimonense, 0.98 for Torreense), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Portimonense sit 11th on 11 points; Torreense are 12th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.