UKRPremier League · Matchday 12Friday, 6 November 2026 · Tsentralnyi Stadion

Polessya

2nd · 25 pts

14:30KICK-OFF WAT

Veres Rivne

12th · 9 pts

81% Polessya

13% Draw

6% Veres

OUR PICK

Polessya to win

Model probability 81% · fair odds

1.23

Expected goals

2.56 – 0.53

Confidence

Very high

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.23X7.56217.70

Goals 2.5Over1.68Under2.30

Both scoreGG2.48NG1.61

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.23

Over 1.5

81%

Over/Under 2.5@1.68

Over 2.5

59%

Both teams to score@1.61

62%

Double chance@1.06

94%

Season stats

PolessyaVeres Rivne

2.3Goals per game0.6

0.8Conceded per game1.5

2.50Points per game0.82

80%Win rate18%

15Goal difference-9

13Form, last 5 (pts)3

Polessya form

WWWD

H Novyi Rozdil2–0

H Obolon'-Brovar3–0

H Dynamo Kyiv3–1

A Bukovyna2–2

Veres Rivne form

LWLLL

H Chornomorets1–3

A Livyi Bereh0–1

H Kolos Kovalivka0–2

A Obolon'-Brovar2–0

H Shakhtar Donetsk0–3

Head to head

Polessya

Draw

Veres

Apr 2026Polessya – Veres Rivne1–1

Sept 2025Veres Rivne – Polessya1–4

Apr 2025Veres Rivne – Polessya0–1

Mar 2025Veres Rivne – Polessya5–1

Oct 2024Polessya – Veres Rivne0–0

Premier League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728

2Polessya10+1525

3Dynamo Kyiv10+722

4FC Kharkiv9+1121

5Karpaty11+1419

6Zorya Luhansk11018

7LNZ Cherkasy10+115

8Kolos Kovalivka9-111

9Chornomorets10-49

10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi11-59

Match preview

Our model makes Polessya clear favourites, giving them a 81% chance of winning against 13% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.23 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.1 goals in total (2.56 for Polessya, 0.53 for Veres Rivne), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Polessya sit 2nd on 25 points; Veres Rivne are 12th on 9.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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