UKRPremier League · Matchday 10Friday, 23 October 2026 · Tsentralnyi Stadion

Polessya

2nd · 25 pts

3–0FULL TIME

Obolon'-Brovar

14th · 7 pts

82% Polessya

13% Draw

5% Obolon'-Brovar

OUR PICK

Polessya to win

Model probability 82% · fair odds

1.22

Expected goals

2.56 – 0.50

Confidence

Very high

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.22X7.71219.02

Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30

Both scoreGG2.62NG1.57

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.24

Over 1.5

81%

Over/Under 2.5@1.70

Over 2.5

59%

Both teams to score@1.57

64%

Double chance@1.06

95%

Season stats

PolessyaObolon'-Brovar

2.3Goals per game0.4

0.8Conceded per game1.7

2.50Points per game0.70

80%Win rate10%

15Goal difference-13

13Form, last 5 (pts)4

Polessya form

WWWD

H Novyi Rozdil2–0

H Obolon'-Brovar3–0

H Dynamo Kyiv3–1

A Bukovyna2–2

Obolon'-Brovar form

LWWD

A Polessya3–0

H Veres Rivne2–0

H Kryvbas KR1–0

A Chornomorets1–1

Head to head

Polessya

Draw

Obolon'-Brovar

Oct 2026Polessya – Obolon'-Brovar3–0

Apr 2026Polessya – Obolon'-Brovar3–1

Oct 2025Obolon'-Brovar – Polessya0–4

Feb 2025Obolon'-Brovar – Polessya0–0

Aug 2024Polessya – Obolon'-Brovar4–0

Premier League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728

2Polessya10+1525

3Dynamo Kyiv10+722

4FC Kharkiv9+1121

5Karpaty11+1419

6Zorya Luhansk11018

7LNZ Cherkasy10+115

8Kolos Kovalivka9-111

9Chornomorets10-49

10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi11-59

Match preview

Our model makes Polessya clear favourites, giving them a 82% chance of winning against 13% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.22 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.1 goals in total (2.56 for Polessya, 0.50 for Obolon'-Brovar), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Polessya sit 2nd on 25 points; Obolon'-Brovar are 14th on 7.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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