Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 14Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Doosan Arena
Plzen
9th · 19 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Sparta Praha
4th · 23 pts38% Plzen
22% Draw
40% Sparta
OUR PICK
Sparta Praha to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.48
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.82
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.66X4.5422.48
Goals 2.5Over1.45Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.44NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.45
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.44
GG
69%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
PlzenSparta Praha2.2Goals per game1.9
1.6Conceded per game1.0
1.46Points per game1.77
38%Win rate54%
7Goal difference12
9Form, last 5 (pts)11
Plzen form
WWLLWA Baník Ostrava0–4
A Vysočina Jihlava1–6
H Pardubice1–2
H Levski Sofia1–2
A FK Jablonec2–3
Sparta Praha form
DLWLDA Bohemians 19050–0
H Baník Ostrava0–2
H Slovácko5–1
A Olympiakos Piraeus1–0
A Baník Ostrava0–0
Head to head
1
Plzen
2
Draw
2
Sparta
May 2026Sparta Praha – Plzen0–0
Feb 2026Plzen – Sparta Praha0–0
Sept 2025Sparta Praha – Plzen2–1
Apr 2025Plzen – Sparta Praha2–0
Apr 2025Sparta Praha – Plzen1–0
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Plzen 38%, the draw 22%, Sparta Praha 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.75 for Plzen, 1.82 for Sparta Praha), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Plzen sit 9th on 19 points; Sparta Praha are 4th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.