Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Doosan Arena
Plzen
9th · 19 pts3–0FULL TIME
Mlada Boleslav
2nd · 24 pts36% Plzen
22% Draw
42% Mlada
OUR PICK
Mlada Boleslav to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.38
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.85
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.78X4.5322.38
Goals 2.5Over1.45Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.45NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.45
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.45
GG
69%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
PlzenMlada Boleslav2.2Goals per game1.7
1.6Conceded per game1.2
1.46Points per game1.85
38%Win rate54%
7Goal difference7
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
Plzen form
WWLLWA Baník Ostrava0–4
A Vysočina Jihlava1–6
H Pardubice1–2
H Levski Sofia1–2
A FK Jablonec2–3
Mlada Boleslav form
WWDWLH Hradec Králové3–1
H Bohemians 19053–2
A Slavia Praha1–1
H Teplice1–0
A Bohemians 19051–0
Head to head
4
Plzen
1
Draw
0
Mlada
Oct 2026Plzen – Mlada Boleslav3–0
Nov 2025Plzen – Mlada Boleslav2–1
Aug 2025Mlada Boleslav – Plzen0–5
Mar 2025Mlada Boleslav – Plzen0–2
Sept 2024Plzen – Mlada Boleslav1–1
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Plzen 36%, the draw 22%, Mlada Boleslav 42%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.70 for Plzen, 1.85 for Mlada Boleslav), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Plzen sit 9th on 19 points; Mlada Boleslav are 2nd on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.