Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 11Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Home Park
Plymouth
5th · 23 pts0–2FULL TIME
Huddersfield
1st · 28 pts31% Plymouth
24% Draw
45% Huddersfield
OUR PICK
Huddersfield to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.22
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.62
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.28X4.1022.22
Goals 2.5Over1.80Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.72NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.72
GG
58%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
PlymouthHuddersfield1.5Goals per game2.1
1.4Conceded per game0.8
1.64Points per game2.15
50%Win rate62%
2Goal difference16
7Form, last 5 (pts)13
Plymouth form
DWLLWH Reading0–0
A Cambridge United2–3
A Stevenage3–0
H Huddersfield0–2
H AFC Wimbledon2–1
Huddersfield form
WWWWDA Bradford0–3
H Wigan2–1
H Peterborough4–1
A Plymouth0–2
H Sheffield Wednesday2–2
Head to head
2
Plymouth
1
Draw
2
Huddersfield
Oct 2026Plymouth – Huddersfield0–2
Mar 2026Plymouth – Huddersfield3–1
Nov 2025Huddersfield – Plymouth3–1
Jan 2024Huddersfield – Plymouth1–1
Aug 2023Plymouth – Huddersfield3–1
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Huddersfield slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.22 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.29 for Plymouth, 1.62 for Huddersfield), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Plymouth sit 5th on 23 points; Huddersfield are 1st on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.