Over 1.5 goals@2.39
Over 1.5
42%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 31Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Rufaro Stadium
Platinum
9th · 43 pts0–2FULL TIME
CAPS United
5th · 51 pts33% Platinum
38% Draw
30% CAPS
OUR PICK
Draw
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.65
Expected goals
0.74 – 0.69
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.07X2.6523.38
Goals 2.5Over5.55Under1.21
Both scoreGG3.63NG1.35
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.21
Under 2.5
83%
Both teams to score@1.35
NG
74%
Double chance@1.42
1X
70%
Season stats
PlatinumCAPS United0.7Goals per game1.1
0.7Conceded per game0.8
1.34Points per game1.59
28%Win rate41%
0Goal difference10
8Form, last 5 (pts)8
Platinum form
WLDWDA Herentals0–3
H CAPS United0–2
A Chicken Inn0–0
H Kariba1–0
A Scotland Mabvuku0–0
CAPS United form
LWDWDH Scotland Mabvuku0–1
A Platinum0–2
H Simba Bhora0–0
A MWOS0–1
H Dynamos1–1
Head to head
1
Platinum
1
Draw
3
CAPS
Oct 2026Platinum – CAPS United0–2
May 2026CAPS United – Platinum0–0
Aug 2025Platinum – CAPS United0–1
Apr 2025CAPS United – Platinum1–2
Aug 2024CAPS United – Platinum1–0
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Platinum 33%, the draw 38%, CAPS United 30%.
Our fair price for "Draw" is 2.65 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.4 goals in total (0.74 for Platinum, 0.69 for CAPS United), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Platinum sit 9th on 43 points; CAPS United are 5th on 51.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.