Over 1.5 goals@1.94
Over 1.5
52%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez
Platense
12th · 16 pts0–1FULL TIME
Lanus
6th · 24 pts30% Platense
34% Draw
36% Lanus
OUR PICK
Lanus to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.76
Expected goals
0.81 – 0.92
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.32X2.9722.76
Goals 2.5Over3.77Under1.33
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.50
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.33
Under 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.50
NG
67%
Double chance@1.43
X2
70%
Season stats
PlatenseLanus0.6Goals per game1.1
0.9Conceded per game0.9
1.00Points per game1.50
19%Win rate38%
-5Goal difference3
8Form, last 5 (pts)9
Platense form
DWLDDA Atletico Tucuman1–1
A Gimnasia M.1–2
H Lanus0–1
H Argentinos JRS1–1
A Velez Sarsfield2–2
Lanus form
DDWWDH Gimnasia M.0–0
A Banfield1–1
A Platense0–1
H Velez Sarsfield2–0
A Newells Old Boys0–0
Head to head
0
Platense
3
Draw
2
Lanus
Oct 2026Platense – Lanus0–1
Apr 2026Lanus – Platense0–0
Sept 2025Lanus – Platense2–1
Mar 2025Platense – Lanus0–0
Nov 2024Lanus – Platense0–0
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Platense 30%, the draw 34%, Lanus 36%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (0.81 for Platense, 0.92 for Lanus), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Platense sit 12th on 16 points; Lanus are 6th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.