Over 1.5 goals@2.23
Over 1.5
45%


Our model makes Argentinos JRS slight favourites, giving them a 39% chance of winning against 36% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.57 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.5 goals in total (0.64 for Platense, 0.88 for Argentinos JRS), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.